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Obama stock: Portfolio plays from media to solar

This post is part of a series in which TheStockAdvisors.com asked financial experts to name their top stock pick if McCain or if Obama wins the election.

"It looks very much to me like there will be a rough few years ahead in the United States, whichever candidate wins; however, if Obama wins, we see opportunity in select stocks such as Microsoft, Time Warner and First Solar," says Martin Hutchinson in The Money Map Reporter.

"If Obama takes the White House, interest rates will surely rise. And the major beneficiaries of a policy of higher interest rates will be companies with large piles of cash, who will earn better returns on that money even as they discover cheaper opportunities to deploy it as prices of highly leveraged competitors crash.

"Microsoft Corp. (NASDAQ: MSFT), for example, with $23 billion of cash and negligible debt, should find many ways to deploy that capital and convert it into profitable business opportunities.

"Another sector that might benefit is media, which always finds it easier to sell products internationally when the United States has a popular "rock-star" president than it does when an unpopular president occupies the White House.

"You might look at Time Warner Inc. (NYSE: TWX), which is largely concentrated in visual and Internet media, without investments in the rapidly declining newspaper sector.

"Finally, you might look for a new energy company that could benefit from Obama's proposed $150 billion alternative energy fund.

"One possibility would be First Solar (NASDAQ: FSLR), though -- at 39 times earnings and with a market capitalization of greater than $20 billion -- the stock certainly isn't cheap, despite the company's global reach."

Steven Halpern's TheStockAdvisors.com offers a daily look at the latest market commentary and favorite stock picks and investment ideas from the nation's leading financial newsletter advisors.

McCain stock: Portfolio package for oil, pharma and defense

This post is part of a series in which TheStockAdvisors.com asked financial experts to name their top stock pick if McCain or if Obama wins the election.

"We see a rough few years ahead for the markets and the economy in the United States; however, if you were determined to invest in the U.S. and McCain wins the election, we would look at defense, pharmaceuticals and oil," says Martin Hutchinson in The Money Map Reporter.

"If you were bound and determined to invest in domestic stocks, a McCain presidency would be good for defense stocks, as defense spending would be higher, so you might look at Northrop Grumman Corp. (NYSE: NOC).

"It would also be good for the large patented pharmaceutical stocks, as they would not be subjected to price controls as the Democrats currently propose.

"Among pharmaceutical stocks Merck & Co. Inc. (NYSE: MRK), with a forward Price/Earnings (P/E) ratio of about 10 and a 5% dividend yield, looks like a good value.

"A McCain presidency would also be very good for domestic oil companies, which would expand their offshore operations, their work with such unconventional oil sources as shale, and possibly even drill in the Arctic National Wildlife Refuge.

"EOG Resources Inc. (NYSE: EOG), for example, is rapidly expanding production in the huge Bakken oil fields of the upper Midwest."

Steven Halpern's TheStockAdvisors.com offers a daily look at the latest market commentary and favorite stock picks and investment ideas from the nation's leading financial newsletter advisors.

Obama stock: Invest in infrastructure reinvestment bank Ingersoll Rand (IR)

This post is part of a series in which TheStockAdvisors.com asked financial experts to name their top stock pick if McCain or if Obama wins the election.

"Obama is expected to create a national infrastructure reinvestment bank to expand and enhance existing federal transportation investments; our pick to benefit is Ingersoll Rand (NYSE: IR)," says Thomas Vass in The Technology Stock Advisor.

"The national infrastructure reinvestment bank will receive an infusion of federal money, $60 billion over 10 years, to provide financing to transportation infrastructure projects across the nation.

"These projects will create up to two million new direct and indirect jobs per year and stimulate approximately $35 billion per year in new economic activity.

"The one area in particular that will benefit the most from the new national infrastructure reinvestment bank is the the industrial machinery and distribution equipment value chain.

"This sector has the potential income and employment multiplier effects to create the jobs Obama is promising as a result of this policy.

"Within that sector, Ingersoll Rand has the best prospects for stock price appreciation. It is rated an A stock by S & P for quality. Our target buy price on the stock is $37. The target sell price is $56."

Steven Halpern's TheStockAdvisors.com offers a daily look at the latest market commentary and favorite stock picks and investment ideas from the nation's leading financial newsletter advisors.

McCain stock: Invest in the high-tech value chain Molex

This post is part of a series in which TheStockAdvisors.com asked financial experts to name their top stock pick if McCain or if Obama wins the election.

"A McCain victory would allow for a first year expensing of new equipment and technology; as such, we would recommend Molex (NASDAQ: MOLX), which is positioned in the technology value chain," says Thomas Vass in The Technology Stock Advisor.

"To provide an immediate boost to capital expenditures and reward investments in cutting edge technologies, John McCain would allow companies to expense the costs of new equipment or technology in the first year.

"High technology value chains -- such as computer and electronic equipment and information services -- are likely to benefit by this economic policy.

"Molex has an international value chain that will benefit greatly from the new policy because its customers will be able to buy technology goods at a much lower cost as a result of the new accelerated tax write-off.

"MOLX meets the Technology Stock Advisor screening criteria and has been in the TSA active portfolio since July of 2006. Standard & Poor's gives MOLX a B rating for quality. Our buy price target is $26. The target sell price is $40."

Steven Halpern's TheStockAdvisors.com offers a daily look at the latest market commentary and favorite stock picks and investment ideas from the nation's leading financial newsletter advisors.

Obama stock: Cardinal (CAH) delivers on health care promise

This post is part of a series in which TheStockAdvisors.com asked financial experts to name their top stock pick if McCain or if Obama wins the election.

"Should Obama win the election, we would look towards select sub-sectors of health care; one stock we would expect to benefit is health supply distributor, Cardinal Health (NYSE: CAH)," explains Kelley Wright, editor of the blue chip Investment Quality Trends.

"A President Obama will have to make good on his promise to deliver better health care. While this could create havoc for the pharmaceutical producers, drug therapies and medical supplies will have to be delivered.

"The 800lb. gorilla in the supply and distribution space is Cardinal Health. Cardinal is a global company whose distribution businesses consolidate pharmaceuticals and medical products from thousands of manufacturers into site-specific deliveries to retail pharmacies, hospitals, physician's offices, surgery centers and alternate care facilities.

"The company has recently taken steps to increase the percentage of cash flow into dividends and share repurchases to enhance shareholder value.

"The blue chip stocks that we recommend are chosen for the exemplary long-term dividend growth, a P/E ratio of 15 or less, a payout ratio of 50% or less, debt of 50% or less, and technical characteristics on the daily and weekly charts that suggests the potential for imminent capital appreciation.

"While the current dividend yield on Cardinal Health is comparatively low at around 1.0%, the upside potential for capital appreciation is quite large."

Steven Halpern's TheStockAdvisors.com offers a daily look at the latest market commentary and favorite stock picks and investment ideas from the nation's leading financial newsletter advisors.

McCain stock: Pro-growth strategy for CenturyTel (CTL)

This post is part of a series in which TheStockAdvisors.com asked financial experts to name their top stock pick if McCain or if Obama wins the election.

"A President McCain will be pro-growth but should be more aggressive in oversight as it pertains to mergers and acquisitions; with that being said, we like CenturyTel Inc. (NYSE: CTL)," says Kelley Wright, editor of Investment Quality Trends.

"CTL provides a variety of communications services to 25 states in primarily rural area and small to mid-size cities.

"The company offers local and long distance services, as well as enhanced voice services, as well as high-speed and dial-up Internet.

"In June the company increased its annual dividend to $2.80 from $0.27, reflecting its confidence in their growth model and as a deterrent to possible suitors.

"The blue-chip stocks that we recommend, including CTL, show exemplary long-term dividend growth, a P/E ratio of 15 or less, a payout ratio of 50% or less, debt of 50% or less, and technical characteristics on the daily and weekly charts that suggests the potential for imminent capital appreciation.

"Currently yielding almost 7.0%, CTL offers tremendous value in both dividend yield and the potential for long-term capital appreciation."

Steven Halpern's TheStockAdvisors.com offers a daily look at the latest market commentary and favorite stock picks and investment ideas from the nation's leading financial newsletter advisors.

Obama stock: Alternative profits from 'New Energy' policy

This post is part of a series in which TheStockAdvisors.com asked financial experts to name their top stock pick if McCain or if Obama wins the election.

"An Obama presidency would likely mean more to the alternative energy industry than any other factor to date; to benefit from an Obama victory, we would buy Market Vectors Global Alternative Energy (NYSE: GEX)," says Paul Tracy, editor of The Street Authority Market Advisor.

"Obama's 'New Energy for America' plan will aim to put 1 million plug-in hybrid cars on the roads by 2015, reduce greenhouse gas emissions by 80% by 2050 and ensure 25% of our electricity comes from renewable sources by 2025.

"Obviously, to enact such a bold plan would take a massive investment and mean billions for companies involved in the still-fledgling alternative energy field.

"And while investors can certainly pick and choose between individual companies with exposure to the sector, several ETFs have popped up that offer broad exposure to the industry. In particular, I like Market Vectors Global Alternative Energy.

"With this ETF, shareholders have a healthy stake in hydroelectric power generators, solar cells, as well as some exposure to gasoline alternatives such as ethanol and fuel cells.

"GEX shies away from micro-cap companies with unproven business models and loads up on larger, more-established players -- more than half of its assets are invested in companies with market caps of $6 billion or greater.

Continue reading Obama stock: Alternative profits from 'New Energy' policy

McCain stock: Shaw Group (SGR) goes nuclear

This post is part of a series in which TheStockAdvisors.com asked financial experts to name their top stock pick if McCain or if Obama wins the election.

"John McCain has said that nuclear power must be part of a plan to address climate change and reduce our dependence on foreign oil; to benefit from this plan, buy Shaw Group (NYSE: SGR), which constructs and maintains nuclear power plants," says Paul Tracy in his Street Authority Market Advisor.

"Today, nearly half of U.S. electricity is created via conventional coal-fired plants. This made sense for us for decades -- coal is so cheap and plentiful here that the United States is often referred to as the Saudi Arabia of coal.

"However, in the past few years, the tide of public sentiment has shifted against the energy source. Primarily this is due to the emissions created by burning coal for electricity.

"In addition to the well known release of carbon dioxide, coal emissions also contain traces of mercury. On top of that, the rise of China and other emerging markets has led to higher costs for coal.

"So with a public that is increasingly interested in alternative sources of electricity and a president who is committed to increasing nuclear power usage, the companies that build and maintain nuclear plants sit in the perfect position to benefit.

"In particular, I think Louisiana-based Shaw Group is a stock to watch. SGR's largest end market is the construction and maintenance of power plants, including both plants fired by fossil fuels and nuclear facilities.

"The company also owns a 20% stake in Westinghouse Electric, one of the world's leading designers and builders of nuclear power plants.

Continue reading McCain stock: Shaw Group (SGR) goes nuclear

Obama stock: Constructing gains with Fluor (FLR)

This post is part of a series in which TheStockAdvisors.com asked financial experts to name their top stock pick if McCain or if Obama wins the election.

"Like a neglectful homeowner who has let their house fall into a dilapidated state of disrepair, the federal government has quite a bit of housekeeping to do; if Obama wins the election, we would look towards infrastructure plays such as Fluor (NYSE: FLR)," says Nathan Slaughter, editor of Half-Priced Stocks.

"You may remember the tragic collapse of a Minneapolis bridge last year that took 13 lives. According to the Federal Highway Administration, this is not a one-time incident but a potential epidemic.

"By their estimates, 152,000 of the nation's 600,000 bridges (1 in 4) either require substantial work or have become obsolete and need to be replaced entirely.

"The overall price tag to bring all these bridges up to date: about $140 billion. And the American Society of Civil Engineers (ASCE) believes that bridges are actually in pretty good shape when compared to other crumbling infrastructure.

"Across the country, we have 3,500 unsafe dams in need of repair and hundreds of locks that must be fixed to allow cargo barges to navigate through inland waterways.

"Sewage treatment facilities are outdated; corroded pipes leak 6 billion gallons of drinking water daily; and maintenance on energy transmission lines has been steadily dwindling for over a decade.

"Throw in aging transit systems, highways, landfills, and ports, and the ASCE has graded America's overall infrastructure a "D" and puts the repair bill at a staggering $1.6 trillion.

"And Obama will not shy away from big government projects. In fact, the senator has gone on record as saying 'it is critically important for the United States to rebuild its national infrastructure.'

"And this isn't just hollow campaign rhetoric. Obama has thrown his support behind the National Infrastructure Bank Act, which would free up tens of billions to support various infrastructure projects.

"By all accounts, a massive amount of cash will be needed to bring our infrastructure into the 21st century, and much of that will find its way into the coffers of heavy construction companies like Fluor.

"The Texas-based company is a global heavyweight in the engineering, procurement, construction and maintenance (EPCM) field with nearly $20 billion in annual revenues.

Continue reading Obama stock: Constructing gains with Fluor (FLR)

McCain stock: Mining gains with uranium miner USEC (USU)

This post is part of a series in which TheStockAdvisors.com asked financial experts to name their top stock pick if McCain or if Obama wins the election.

"If McCain is elected, we would suggest USEC (NYSE: USU); after slumbering for over 20 years, nuclear power is quickly emerging from hibernation and will be satisfying a much larger percentage of the nation's energy-hungry appetite during McCain administration," says value investor Nathan Slaughter, editor of Half-Priced Stocks.

"Currently, there are 104 nuclear plants in operation nationwide, which combined, account for 20% of the country's electricity. But both of those totals are set to rise markedly. Current forecasts suggest nuclear facilities could double their share and ultimately account for 40% of power in the U.S.

"There are several factors underpinning this resurgence in nuclear energy, not the least of which is $100 per barrel oil and elevated prices for natural gas and coal.

"Believe it or not, one kilogram of uranium-235 has the stored energy equivalent of 1,500 tons of coal. And while up-front construction expenses can be high, ongoing operating costs for nuclear reactors are running just $15-20 per megawatt hour, far cheaper than traditional plants.

"John McCain is an outspoken champion for the nuclear power movement, outlining ambitious plans to commit $315 billion towards the construction of 45 new reactors over the next two decades.

"Beyond that, he has a clear goal of achieving energy independence by building '100 new plants to power the homes and factories and cities of America.'

"All of this spells plenty of opportunity for USEC, owner of the nation's only uranium enrichment facility. The company is in the business of supplying fuel for commercial reactors around the world -- and competition is sparse.

"The firm also benefits from a longstanding nuclear non-proliferation treaty with Russia. Specifically, USEC participates in the salvaging of old Soviet nuclear warheads under the 'Megatons to Megawatts' program.

"The company has carved out a dominant market share and now supplies about half of the nation's enriched uranium (most of the rest comes from Russia).

Continue reading McCain stock: Mining gains with uranium miner USEC (USU)

Obama stock: Middle-class shopping at American Eagle (AEO)

This post is part of a series in which TheStockAdvisors.com asked financial experts to name their top stock pick if McCain or if Obama wins the election.

"Obama's tax plan would give greater relief to the lower and middle classes; one retailer that would benefit from this is American Eagle Outfitters (NYSE: AEO)," says John Reese, editor of Validea, which follows the investment criteria of "legendary" investors such as Warren Buffett and Peter Lynch.

"Consumers have had to tighten their wallets and purses because of the slowing economy and rising food and fuel prices. Breaks for average Americans would be welcome news for retailers, which have sputtered amid the downturn.

"In the event of a retail surge, this teen-focused Pittsburgh-based clothing chain should be at the head of the line.

"American Eagle gets approval from two of my Guru Strategies -- computer models that are each based on the published approach of a different Wall Street great. What's more, the two strategies that like the firm are modeled after two of the greatest gurus, Warren Buffett and Peter Lynch.

"My conservative Buffett-inspired model looks for stocks with a lengthy history of steadily increasing earnings, as well as a conservative balance sheet.

"Eagle has grown earnings per share in eight of the past ten years, with EPS rising from $0.25 to $1.82 in that time, meeting the first criterion. In addition, the firm has no long-term debt, which my Buffett model loves.

Continue reading Obama stock: Middle-class shopping at American Eagle (AEO)

McCain stock: Defense play with General Dynamics (GD)

This post is part of a series in which TheStockAdvisors.com asked financial experts to name their top stock pick if McCain or if Obama wins the election.

"The GOP is traditionally known as the party that spends more on defense; thus, if McCain wins the election, one stock to benefit would be defense firm General Dynamics (NYSE: GD)," says John Reese, editor of Validea, which follows the strategies of "legendary" investors such as Warren Buffett and Peter Lynch.

"While McCain has talked tough about reforming the defense budget, he has also pledged to increase the size of the military, modernize the armed services, and push hard for strong missile defense systems -- all of which require serious spending.

"As a major producer of battle tanks and assault vehicles, armaments and munitions, battleships and nuclear submarines, and military information technology systems, this Virginia-based firm is thus likely to have quite a bit of work on its hands during a McCain presidency.

"Just as importantly, General Dynamics' finances and fundamentals are very strong, earning approval from both my Peter Lynch and Warren Buffett-based Guru Strategies -- computer models that are each based on the approach of a different investing great.

"Because of its moderate 18.14% long-term growth rate and huge annual sales of $28.7 billion, General Dynamics is considered a 'stalwart' by my Lynch strategy, the type of large, steady firm that Lynch found offered protection during downturns or recessions.

"Two big reasons my Lynch model is high on this stalwart: its yield-adjusted P/E/Growth ratio of 0.75, which signals that the stock is a bargain right now, and its 18.79% debt/equity ratio, a sign that GD has the conservative financing Lynch liked to see."

My Buffett-based model, meanwhile, likes General Dynamics' consistency. Over the past decade, its EPS have declined just once, rising from $1.46 to $5.10 in that time.

"The company's annual return on equity -- a figure Buffett used to find firms with the 'durable competitive advantage' he famously prizes -- has been at least 16.4% every year.

"GD has also retained $22.30 in per-share earnings in the past decade while increasing EPS by $3.64, showing it can earn investors a 16.3% return on the earnings it keeps. That's a sign of the strong management Buffett is also known to look for."

Steven Halpern's TheStockAdvisors.com offers a daily look at the latest market commentary and favorite stock picks and investment ideas from the nation's leading financial newsletter advisors.

Wal-Mart: An 'easy hold' stock

"'Easy hold' stocks have strong finances, consistent sales and earnings and moderate volatility; one such stock is Wal-Mart Stores (NYSE: WMT)," says Chuck Carlson in The DRIP Investor.

"Easy hold stocks are 'easy holds' for good reason -- their price action generally does not force you to make too many decisions about selling. And one that has held up quite well of late is Wal-Mart, the world's largest retailer.

"The firm's discount focus has been especially popular with consumers in recent months in light of the sluggish economy and job markets. The firm has beaten earnings estimates in each of the last four quarters. Record profits of $3.50 per share are expected for the current fiscal year ending January 2009.

"Long term, I expect Wal-Mart to provide the sort of steady sales and profit growth that will keep its stock trending higher.

"While I would not expect Wal-Mart to keep pace during the next big upward move in the market, I think the consistency of returns the stock will show over the next several years should be rewarding for investors looking for acceptable returns at moderate risk levels.

"Wal-Mart also offers a direct-purchase plan whereby any investor may buy shares directly, the first share and every share. Minimum initial investment is $250. However, Wal-Mart will waive the minimum if an investor agrees to automatic monthly investment via electronic debit of a bank account of at least $25."

Steven Halpern's TheStockAdvisors.com offers a daily look at the latest market commentary and favorite stock picks and investment ideas from the nation's leading financial newsletter advisors.

Obama stock: Consumer optimism to boost Apple

This post is part of a series in which TheStockAdvisors.com asked financial experts to name their top stock pick if McCain or if Obama wins the election.

"We expect that an Obama-Biden victory will provide a renewed sense of optimism on the part of consumers; to profit from this expected trend is Apple (NASDAQ: AAPL)," says growth stock specialist Nate Pile, editor of Nate's Notes.

"Apple has been crushed this year on concerns about consumer spending. Any improvement in consumer spending that may come from an Obama win should only add fuel to the fire that is already burning brightly for Apple.

"The company's product line-up is one of the best in the consumer electronics space, and as we have been anticipating for a number of years now, success with products outside of the PC market is translating into growth rates for the Mac line that are significantly above the industry average.

"Apple's stock price certainly suggests that there is a huge buyer boycott going on when it comes to tech stocks these days.

"Part of the reason for the continued slide is being attributed to the lack of a 'major announcement' at a recent publicity event, though I believe the fall has more to do with where we are currently at in the 'psychology cycle' on Wall Street than anything else.

"Though we may have to wait until we get through tax-loss selling season this year to see a significant rebound in the stock price, we believe Apple's best days are still ahead of it, and a win by Obama will only help to accelerate the trends that are already underway for the company."

Steven Halpern's TheStockAdvisors.com offers a daily look at the latest market commentary and favorite stock picks and investment ideas from the nation's leading financial newsletter advisors.

McCain stock: Go for gold with SPDR Gold Trust (GLD)

This post is part of a series in which TheStockAdvisors.com asked financial experts to name their top stock pick if McCain or if Obama wins the election.

"Our pick to profit from a McCain-Palin victory in November is the SPDR Gold Trust (NYSE: GLD), an exchange-traded fund that is designed to reflect the performance of the price of gold bullion," explains Nate Pile, editor of Nate's Notes.

"We would buy gold in order to hedge ourselves against what we expect would be a heightened sense of uncertainty that foreign investors would express (at least initially) if the hard-to-predict 'mavericks' take the helm.

"I also continue to believe that we are still in the early stages of what will prove to be a multi-year boom for commodities, and much of the selling we have seen in gold appears to be for primarily emotional reasons.

"The recent strength of the dollar may partially explain the drop in gold, but for the most part, I think we have simply been witnessing some good old-fashioned panic selling.

"Unlike some other ETFs that invest in precious metals via the buying and selling of futures contracts on the underlying commodities, SPDR Gold Trust (formerly known as the streetTracks Gold Trust) actually buys and sells gold bullion, and each share of the Trust represents approximately 1/10th of an ounce of gold.

"However, while there are certain benefits to actually owning gold itself (as opposed to a derivative contract associated with the commodity), investors need to be aware that gold is considered a 'collectible' by the IRS, and thus investing in this ETF can result in a higher tax rate being applied to any gains that are achieved.

Continue reading McCain stock: Go for gold with SPDR Gold Trust (GLD)

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Last updated: October 14, 2008: 04:06 PM

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